Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.243458 0.281224 0.322720 0.371671 0.427816 0.490177 0.564682
2024-10-13 0.182672 0.231241 0.289435 0.364201 0.457628 0.570441 0.716951
2024-10-20 0.145188 0.199864 0.270765 0.369212 0.502149 0.675214 0.917454
2024-10-27 0.112272 0.167162 0.243788 0.358149 0.524064 0.755564 1.102668
2024-11-03 0.094114 0.150658 0.235147 0.369884 0.578625 0.888864 1.384016
2024-11-10 0.080388 0.137676 0.228856 0.383477 0.637990 1.038873 1.716431
2024-11-17 0.066836 0.122007 0.215203 0.382636 0.674329 1.159362 2.024065
2024-11-24 0.055899 0.108367 0.202098 0.379865 0.706433 1.277585 2.347591
2024-12-01 0.047435 0.097331 0.191289 0.378785 0.740771 1.404430 2.706532
2024-12-08 0.040913 0.088580 0.182917 0.380411 0.779904 1.545387 3.113533
2024-12-15 0.036313 0.082705 0.178920 0.389614 0.834847 1.723891 3.619979
2024-12-22 0.031490 0.075324 0.170437 0.387951 0.867309 1.863107 4.070307
2024-12-29 0.028207 0.070793 0.167377 0.397815 0.926862 2.068941 4.696808
2025-01-05 0.024291 0.063944 0.157905 0.391672 0.950464 2.203247 5.193668
2025-01-12 0.021755 0.059926 0.154222 0.398319 1.004498 2.412873 5.893009
2025-01-19 0.018631 0.053706 0.144022 0.387247 1.014597 2.524634 6.385943
2025-01-26 0.017131 0.051508 0.143505 0.400497 1.086994 2.794186 7.299483
2025-02-02 0.015869 0.049701 0.143670 0.415598 1.166881 3.094598 8.337929
2025-02-09 0.014143 0.046145 0.138404 0.414970 1.205191 3.297025 9.160328
2025-02-16 0.012570 0.042690 0.132744 0.412161 1.237108 3.488087 9.984315
2025-02-23 0.011256 0.039748 0.127999 0.411120 1.273919 3.698132 10.894042
2025-03-02 0.010184 0.037352 0.124432 0.412969 1.319592 3.939852 11.931341
2025-03-09 0.009440 0.035900 0.123533 0.422998 1.391797 4.267925 13.268528